The various mouthpieces of the establishment apparatus have been calling for a “Blue Wave” backlash against the Trump administration basically since the day he took office. The supposed date with destiny ? The 2018 mid-term elections.
To make a long story short, this is but more of the same wishful thinking that deluded “the whole world” into thinking that Shillary was a shoe-in in 2016. She wasn’t, not by a long shot, and the US mid-terms coming in November of this year will show just how little grip on power and respectability the American Left has left after their utter decimation twenty-four months ago. But this isn’t obvious to everyone! Indeed there are many decliningly relevant media channels still pointlessly swimming upstream like so many lost salmon in the spring.i
So to flesh out this point and to take but one example chosen at random, let’s look at this particularly woeful case – ineptly made and thinly veneered – by Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large, in the hilariously titled “There’s zero evidence a ‘red wave’ is forming in 2018“ii :
[When] Democrats — and non-partisan political analysts — suggest that all signs point to a blue wave in the 2018 midterm elections in 56 days time, Trump has a ready retort: “Red Wave.”
“A Blue Wave means Crime and Open Borders. A Red Wave means Safety and Strength!” Trump tweeted on August 21.
Are these the same “non-partisan political analysts,” the Nate Silvers of the world, that were so dead-in-the-head two years ago when they predicted Shillary in a landslide ? Ferfuxake why don’t track records matter in political predictions ? Goodness knows that hedge funds and business leaders are brutally judged by their track records. Regardless, history isn’t so blind to failure. Fudging the numbers and cooking the books when it’s politically convenient might have short-term benefits, like keeping the lights on at your squalid Manhattan flat while you ooze out shamanistic predictions to appease your vox populi overlords, but there’s no honour in such debasement, nor any positive long-term prospects.
As Trump’s 2016 election victory proved, anything is possible in campaigns. But history suggests that the idea of a red wave — given everything we know about this election cycle so far — is incredibly far-fetched.
Let’s go through a few of the historical hurdles Trump has to bypass to make the “Red Wave” a thing:
[blah blah blah]
That’s a whole lot of history. And it all points in the same direction — toward major seat losses in the House
Whoa whoa whoa Cillizzzzza. You can’t have it both ways buckaroo. You can’t have history be REALLY USEFUL FOR MAKING PREDICATIONS in one breath and have it be “different this time” in the next. That’s not how logic works. That’s not how functioning brains work. Pick a side and stick to it. So which is it ? Not like it matters. Either way you’re up shit creek without a paddle.
[History] is very, very likely to repeat itself. And that means Republicans’ House majority is in deep trouble.
Riiiiiiight. You’re 90% sure! Too bad that, since the CNN article was published on Sept 11, the Dems so badly overplayed their hand with the whole Kavanaugh ordeal and are now staring down both barrels of a shotgun aimed at their heads, namely an exhausted majority fed-up with their political correctness and identity politics.
Let me close by saying that I don’t much care who wins the congressional and senatorial seats next month. The upcoming election result is quite simply outside of my influence and control — that the result will have the occasional impact on my life doesn’t change this fact. From my distant northern outpost, the whole circus is at best amusing, a study in the power of ideology to create the necessary facts to support a pre-supposed worldview.iii
That being said, I’m still an insatiable gambler at heart, so if anyone wants to make bets on the 2018 mid-terms with me, or on the possibility of Trump amending the Constitution to allow himself a third termiv – à la Putin – drop a comment below.
Good night and God Bless.
___ ___ ___
- Salmon swim upstream in the fall. ↩
- Evidence of absence is absence of evidence! Me thinks Cillizzzzza slept through Taleb. ↩
- But suffice to say, if anything should make you of wary of individuals who “just want the facts” and “don’t even have an ideology,” it’s people like Cillizzzzza. ↩
- I cheekily called for a third term early in Trump’s first year in office. Anyone care to call me on it ? ↩